Prem Warde

Research & Publications

This collection of research and writing focuses on healthcare transformation. Specifically, where clinical outcomes, financial incentives, and human behavior intersect.

It includes work on policy design, value-based care, and predictive analytics, alongside more experimental explorations of behavior modeling.

One of my research bucket lists is to explore human behavior through games and simulations by using tools like massive multiplayer online (MMO) environments or geolocated IP data to mimic societal response to contagions or systemic stress. The intent would be to surface new ways to understand public health and to prototype more adaptive, equitable systems for the real world.

Predictive Healthcare Analytics

Development and use of claims-based and EMR models to predict clinical outcomes and costs.

Prediction to Policy: Linking predictive models with policy for hospital readiness.
Simulated COVID Spread: Movement-driven modeling of virus transmission.
Hospitalization Prediction Model: Predicting hospitalizations and ED visits in radiotherapy patients.

Social Determinants & Equity

Work highlighting socioeconomic and racial influences on healthcare access, test outcomes, and care engagement.

Race and Hospitalization: Socioeconomic mediation of racial disparities in COVID-19 care.
Diabetes Care: Value of in-home evaluations on diabetes control.
Experience and Engagement: Member experience linked with improved primary care usage.

Cancer Care Access & Economics

Studies examining how cancer patients choose oncologists, care locations, and the economics of cancer therapy delivery.

Choosing Oncologists: How patients navigate oncologist selection during the cancer journey.
Gene Sequencing: Cost-effectiveness of broad vs. narrow sequencing for lung cancer.
Treatment Location Factors: Factors affecting cancer treatment site decisions.
Pharmacy Spend Trend: Trends in U.S. oncology pharmacy drug spending.
Cost by Site: Differences in cancer therapy costs by care site.
Radiotherapy Cost Variation: Site-based cost variation for radiotherapy services.

Care Delivery

Analyses on hospital operations, screening protocols, and patient outcomes during the pandemic.

COVID Strategy: Strategic planning for elective surgeries.
Preprocedure Testing COVID: Screening accuracy with nasopharyngeal PCR testing.
COVID Incidence Postprocedure: Rates of infection following hospital procedures.
ICU Provider Outcomes: Impact of non-physician ICU teams on patient outcomes.
SOFA Score Validity: Predictive accuracy of SOFA scores with and without COVID-19.
Sepsis Tool Accuracy: Validation of surveillance tools in critical care.

Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Studies on COVID-19 transmission, vaccine effectiveness, and emerging infections in hospital settings.